Where in the lifecycle are we losing customers?
From order to install, cancellations can happen before, on, or after the Original Due Date.
What is happening?
- ObservedLifecycle
Of 38,003 September orders, 29,702 installed and 7,563 cancelled; 57% of the cancellations came after the Original Due Date.
- ObservedA typical failing journey
Sale completed → ODD assigned → customer not confirmed → reschedule → no new confirmation → Pending Contact → No Access → Post ODD cancel.
- ObservedVisible before the loss
48% of North Carolina cancellations carried Pending Customer Contact first: the journey can be rescued before dispatch.
- ObservedWhere it starts
The representative journey begins with a promotional sale by a new Agency Alpha representative; that cohort made 56% of the agency's sales and 75% of its cancellations.
Cancellations equal 19.9% of sales; 57% of them happen after the ODD, and installs convert 78.2% of sales in the month.
One order, start to cancellation
A representative North Carolina D2D order. Follow it step by step to see where Brightspeed could have intervened.
- Sep 2Step 1Order Created
D2D sale by an Agency Alpha new representative (promotional offer)
Risk: Representative risk Critical; promotion sensitiveRecommended: Independent order verification - Sep 2Step 2ODD = Sep 10 Opportunity to intervene
Original Due Date assigned
Risk: Commitment establishedRecommended: Confirm plan, price and installation intent - Sep 8Step 3Pending Customer Contact Opportunity to intervene
Customer does not confirm the appointment
Risk: Early warning signalRecommended: SMS and email confirmation with one click reschedule - Sep 10Step 4Customer Request Opportunity to intervene
Customer reschedules on the due date
Risk: Readiness weakensRecommended: Guided rebooking with confirmed commitment - Sep 13Step 5Pending Customer Contact Opportunity to intervene
No confirmation of the new date
Risk: Very high cancel riskRecommended: Agent outreach before dispatch - Sep 15Step 6No Access / Not Home Opportunity to intervene
Technician arrives; customer not home
Risk: Post ODD failure in progressRecommended: Confirm access before truck roll - Sep 18Step 7Post ODD: Customer Miss
Customer cancels
Risk: Final failureRecommended: Root cause review; feed rep and agency scoring